For his first rally of the midterm election year, former President Trump is coming to Arizona on Saturday. The state is going to be very important in November, when it comes to governor and the US Senate.
In the governor’s race, Trump has backed Kari Lake, a former news anchor who says she wouldn’t have signed off on the 2020 vote. He hasn’t yet chosen a Senate candidate to take on Mark Kelly, the Democrat who has been in the job for a long time.
Arizona Attorney General Mark Brnovich, Jim Lamon, Blake Masters, and retired Air Force Major General Michael “Mick” McGuire are some of the Republicans who want to run against Kelly.
When former Senator Martha McSally was running for reelection, she lost by 2.4 points to Katie Kelly. Democrats have won the last two Senate races in Arizona. Kelly, a retired astronaut, is serving the rest of the term of the late Arizona Senator John McCain. This year, he must run again for a full six-year term.
Trump isn’t expected to back anyone. President Trump isn’t going to make a decision until he sees how the race goes in Arizona on August 2. Saturday is the last day of campaigning.
His endorsement can be very powerful, but it doesn’t always clear the way for everyone else to join. There are a lot of races going on in North Carolina. Ted Budd, for example, is running against former North Carolina Governor Pat McCrory. Mo Brooks, a supporter of President Trump, is running against Katie Britt, who was Richard Shelby’s chief of staff.
Trump is still popular with Republicans in Arizona. He didn’t help McSally win in 2018 or 2020, but it would be important in the primary.
Chris DeRose, a lawyer and a former staffer for the state attorney general, said that “if you’re any candidate in this race for Senate, you want his endorsement.” DeRose is a former staffer for the state attorney general. “To win, do you need it? No. I mean, you’d be crazy not to want it.”
In November, Trump went to a fundraiser for Masters that was held at Mar-a-Lago. Masters, who is the president of billionaire Peter Thiel’s foundation and has a law degree from Stanford, told CBS News that without Trump’s support, winning the race would be “a lot more difficult.” But he’s sure that Trump won’t support any of his rivals.
It has been a long time since Brnovich has been the leader in the race. His supporters are hoping that his record on immigration will help him in the primary. People who know about the race say that Trump and Brnovich talk often, and Brnovich could visit Mar-a-Lago soon. During time, Trump has become a little less angry at Brnovich over the election results in Arizona.
A few days after the 2020 election, Brnovich told Fox Business that there is no evidence, and there are no facts that would make anyone think that the election results would change. He said that Trump had lost because people split their tickets. He still didn’t accept his defeat months later. Trump was angry with Brnovich for not trying to show that the election had been stolen from him. This happened back in May when he said Brnovich was “lacklustre.” He also told people that he was “nowhere to be found” when it came to the 2020 election.
Veteran Lamon, who started running for president in May, got a lot of attention this week because he released an ad this week that used the “let’s go Brandon” slogan against Vice President Biden.
People who work for Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee say that Trump is causing “chaos” in the Republican primaries by “raising very bad GOP candidates, escalating Republican infighting, and making their candidates fight over who can suck up to Trump the most.”
“A Rope of Floss”
One thing that Republicans will have to deal with is the review of the 2020 election that the Arizona Senate Republicans ordered in Maricopa County, which is where Maricopa is. The review, which was widely criticised by election experts, turned out to show that President Joe Biden had a bigger margin of victory than he had thought at first.
According to the report, Maricopa County counted invalid ballots and made mistakes in the way the election was run. Maricopa County says the report was full of “faulty analysis, inaccurate claims, misleading conclusions, and a lack of understanding of federal and state election laws.”
When it comes to audits, “especially for Republicans on the ticket this year, it’s like walking on a tightrope with floss.” Mike Noble, chief of research at the nonpartisan polling firm OH Predictive Insights, said that.
There are enough problems with the Maricopa review to put Arizona’s election in President Trump’s hands, Lamon says. This is because Lamon is leaning into the review. He and other Republicans sent a document to Congress that said they were the state’s electors, but they were not. Asked by CBS News, he said that he didn’t regret this because the slates of electors must be submitted by a certain date. He said Republicans wanted to be ready “if in fact this election was not certified.”
That’s what Masters said in November. He thinks that Trump will win the 2020 election.
Master: “Joe Biden is president right now,” he said to CBS News. “No, I don’t think he won an election that was free and fair. I don’t want to. There was no free and fair election in 2020, so I don’t think it was fair. If we did, I’m pretty sure that President Trump would still be in charge.”
He says COVID and social media companies are to blame for putting down bad stories about the Bidens by making it easier to vote by mail.
Ex-major general McGuire told CBS News that “there is no constitutional remedy or dispute about the fact that Joe Biden got more than 270 electoral votes.” No, I don’t think it was fair for Biden to win the election. I’m looking forward to what Brnovich does with the findings that were sent to my office. And he’s not the only one in the race who wants to hurt Brnovich in the 2020 election.
People gathered outside of Brnovich’s office in December to call for more action. People need to be held accountable for breaking the law, says Masters. Masters thinks Brnovich is trying to “kick the can” past his primary so that he can “pretend to be tough on election integrity.”
“It’s always easy to take cheap shots from the cheap seats,” said a spokesperson for the Brnovich campaign. “Attorney General Brnovich is still doing what he was elected to do, and he will present the findings when his office is done with the investigation.”
Allies point to his victory at the U.S. Supreme Court in a case about Arizona voting laws, including a ban on “ballot harvesting,” and his office’s demand that the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors comply with a subpoena related to the state Senate’s review of 2020.
There may be a connection between the audit and the 2020 election, Noble said. But Noble said other issues may be more important in November.
If people are having problems with the economy, inflation, or other things like that, “then that’s going to be more important than social issues, or an audit is going to seem very far away in the voters’ minds,” Noble said.
Ohio Predictive Insights did a poll in November to see what the top issues for Republicans were. Immigration and the economy were the top two issues. CBP data shows that migrant encounters went up 72% in Tucson’s sector in October and November over the same period in 2020. In Yuma, encounters went up 2,400%. In the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic, there were very few people who came into contact with people on the south side of the country.
When McGuire was Adjutant General of the Arizona National Guard from 2013 to 2017, he saw a lot of lawlessness and misbehaviour at the border. “But I have never seen it like it has been since the 20th of January,” he said.
Border Patrol agents are having a hard time keeping up with the number of people crossing the border, which Lamon says is a “invasion.”
“They’re coming from all over the world,” Lamon told us. “America needs to know that. An issue with borders is what this is all about.”
Masters, who worked with Thiel, wants to see stricter rules for big technology firms.
“As long as they can control the flow of information in a free country, I think that’s something we should look into. Right now, everyone is just going with the flow “Masters told me.
A lot of people were surprised that Lamon was the only candidate who talked about working with his Democratic counterpart in the Senate if he won, Kyrsten Senum. “We could be a juggernaut, if we worked together, as Republicans and Democrats,” he said.
A few people still hope Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey, who has been attacked by President Trump, will change his mind and run for the Senate, but Ducey has said that he is not interested.
Not even me or the people in the MAGA Nation will back him. On Friday, Trump said in a statement that Ducey is still interested in running.
In Missouri and Ohio, Trump hasn’t endorsed any candidates in the primaries that were close. He hasn’t backed anyone in Pennsylvania since his favourite candidate, Sean Parnell, dropped out of the race.
In the words of a Trump adviser: “Arizona is one of the more complicated states. There’s no clear candidate and you should let it play out for a little bit.”